Yes ↓ -6% 2026/9/11 18:02:20
The primary outcome appears above fair value after a rapid repricing, with substantial sell-side depth suggesting resistance.
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
模型方向
買 No
模型傾向：看低執行狀態
待確認
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -6%
置信度 62%
模型運行時價格 81¢ 模型運行: 2026/9/11 18:02:20
即時最佳賣價 82¢ 即時更新: 2026/9/11 18:24:03
模型 OpenAI
Yes is priced near 81%, but the recent 18-point daily and 32-point weekly surge appears momentum-driven and leaves limited margin for uncertainty around future inflation, growth, and Fed policy. Estimated probability is about 75%; reassess if new macro data materially changes the expected policy path.
觀察觸發點
- Sustained pricing above 85%
- A renewed inflation acceleration
- Weakening labor-market data
為何仍需確認
Yes is priced near 81%, but the recent 18-point daily and 32-point weekly surge appears momentum-driven and leaves limited margin for uncertainty around future inflation, growth, and Fed policy. Estimated probability is about 75%; reassess if new macro data materially changes the expected policy path.
重新評估條件
Sustained pricing above 85% · A renewed inflation acceleration · Weakening labor-market data
執行約束
價格 82¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $94,136。模型觀點僅供研究，請結合即時盤口獨立核實。
概要
更新時間 2026/9/11 18:24:03
模型觀點
偏向上行最佳賣價 ?
82¢24h 成交量 ?
$152,398流動性 ?
$94,136未平倉量 ?
$550,153價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
54.6%動量 ?
41.7%波動率 ?
2.2%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 動量上行
- 買盤深度占優
- 價差不大（<=2¢）
規則說明
- 動量 = 選定區間內的價格變化，正值代表上行。
- 深度不平衡比較買賣盤總量，正值代表買盤占優。
- 價差 = 最佳賣價 - 最佳買價，越小越容易進出。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
81¢ 7,092.22
80¢ 2,000
79¢ 59,754.32
78¢ 8,814.51
77¢ 5,000
賣盤
82¢ 276.88
83¢ 18,106
84¢ 3,568.5
85¢ 1,255
86¢ 1,050
價格歷史
區間: 6h
2026/9/11 17:57:11 81.5¢
2026/9/11 17:59:16 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:01:14 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:03:11 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:05:16 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:07:15 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:09:15 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:11:15 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:13:11 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:15:15 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:17:11 81.5¢
2026/9/11 18:19:15 81.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。