Stefanos Tsitsipas ↑ 0% 2026/8/31 18:01:25
The estimated probability is only marginally above the market price, so there is no clear divergence after accounting for volatility, spread, and repricing risk.
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
模型方向
暫無方向
資料缺口執行狀態
觀察
模型偏差 Stefanos Tsitsipas ↑ 0%
置信度 35%
模型運行時價格 89.6¢ 模型運行: 2026/8/31 18:01:25
即時最佳賣價 100¢ 即時更新: 2026/8/31 18:29:25
模型 OpenAI
The market implies an approximately 89.6% chance, while the sustained price surge and stronger bid depth support a slightly higher estimate near 90.0%. However, the extreme recent repricing and elevated short-term volatility make overreaction risk substantial.
觀察觸發點
- New injury or withdrawal information
- Price moves materially below 0.88
- Price sustains above 0.92
為何暫不行動
The market implies an approximately 89.6% chance, while the sustained price surge and stronger bid depth support a slightly higher estimate near 90.0%. However, the extreme recent repricing and elevated short-term volatility make overreaction risk substantial.
重新評估條件
New injury or withdrawal information · Price moves materially below 0.88 · Price sustains above 0.92
執行約束
價格 100¢ · 價差 0.1 pts · 流動性 $255,911。模型觀點僅供研究，請結合即時盤口獨立核實。
概要
更新時間 2026/8/31 18:29:25
模型觀點
觀察最佳賣價 ?
100¢24h 成交量 ?
$1,076,036流動性 ?
$255,911未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
0.1¢深度不平衡 ?
—動量 ?
471.1%波動率 ?
14.5%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 波動過大
規則說明
- 波動過大時降級為觀望，避免噪音。
訂單簿
Outcome Stefanos Tsitsipas
買盤
99.9¢ 177,549.18
99.4¢ 45
99.1¢ 377
99¢ 27,976.49
98.1¢ 87
賣盤
價格歷史
區間: 6h
2026/8/31 18:06:25 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:08:08 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:10:12 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:12:09 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:14:11 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:16:12 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:18:12 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:20:13 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:22:12 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:24:12 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:26:12 99.95¢
2026/8/31 18:27:26 99.95¢
預測歷史
完整歷史相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。