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統一市場視圖

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。

研究邊界

這是市場情報,不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。

決策狀態

觀望:價格接近合理值

觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↑ +1%
置信度 55%
模型運行時價格 65¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 12:03:13
即時最佳賣價 66¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 17:48:54
模型 gpt-5.4-mini

Price is near fair value with tight spread and balanced, stable order flow. Any edge looks too small to trade aggressively.

觀察觸發點
  • 0.65 price looks efficient
  • Flat 1h and 6h trend
  • Only slight bid-depth advantage
為何暫不行動

Price is near fair value with tight spread and balanced, stable order flow. Any edge looks too small to trade aggressively.

重新評估條件

0.65 price looks efficient · Flat 1h and 6h trend · Only slight bid-depth advantage

執行約束

價格 66¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $331,173。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。

概要

更新時間 8/3/2026, 17:48:54

操作建議

觀望

最佳賣價 ?

66¢

24h 成交量 ?

$12,172

流動性 ?

$331,173

未平倉量 ?

價差 ?

深度不平衡 ?

32.7%

動量 ?

0.0%

波動率 ?

0.0%

趨勢斜率 ?

0

原因

  • 暫無明顯優勢

規則說明

  • 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。

訂單簿

Outcome Yes

買盤

65¢ 16,197.9
64¢ 34,569.26
63¢ 48,688
62¢ 40,071.04
61¢ 33,013.98

賣盤

66¢ 25,856.88
67¢ 25,625.93
68¢ 11,052.12
69¢ 12,342.83
70¢ 12,712.85

價格歷史

區間: 6h

8/3/2026, 17:25:12 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:27:11 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:29:11 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:31:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:33:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:35:11 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:37:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:39:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:41:08 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:43:11 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:45:11 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:46:10 65.5¢

預測歷史

完整歷史
Yes ↑ +1% 8/3/2026, 12:03:13

Price is near fair value with tight spread and balanced, stable order flow. Any edge looks too small to trade aggressively.

Yes ↓ -1% 8/3/2026, 06:02:47

Current price looks efficient with mild bearish tilt, but the edge is too small for a clear trade.

Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 00:03:01

Modest bearish lean versus the current 0.65 price; no fresh upward momentum and orderbook skew is not enough to offset the already-rich valuation.

Yes ↓ -3% 8/2/2026, 18:02:04

Slightly bearish versus current price: recent trend softened, and bid/ask depth is heavier on the No side, implying modest downside in Yes.

Yes ↓ -3% 8/2/2026, 12:01:54

The market looks fairly valued around 0.67 with tight spread and near-balanced depth. No strong informational edge versus price.

相關鯨魚流向

全部成交

目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。