Yes ↑ +2% 8/3/2026, 18:03:33
The market is tightly priced with modest Yes-side depth and flat recent tape, so expected value is too small to justify a trade.
統一市場視圖
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀望：價格接近合理值
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↑ +2%
置信度 58%
模型運行時價格 65¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 18:03:33
即時最佳賣價 66¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 18:49:31
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
The market is tightly priced with modest Yes-side depth and flat recent tape, so expected value is too small to justify a trade.
觀察觸發點
- Yes best bid/ask 0.65/0.66
- Slight Yes depth imbalance
- 1d and 6h price flat
為何暫不行動
The market is tightly priced with modest Yes-side depth and flat recent tape, so expected value is too small to justify a trade.
重新評估條件
Yes best bid/ask 0.65/0.66 · Slight Yes depth imbalance · 1d and 6h price flat
執行約束
價格 66¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $330,096。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 18:49:31
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
66¢24h 成交量 ?
$15,260流動性 ?
$330,096未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
35.0%動量 ?
0.0%波動率 ?
0.0%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
65¢ 15,332.51
64¢ 34,083.86
63¢ 48,466
62¢ 40,086.04
61¢ 32,998.98
賣盤
66¢ 23,711.16
67¢ 24,618.51
68¢ 10,582.12
69¢ 10,697.74
70¢ 12,712.85
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 18:26:08 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:28:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:30:12 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:32:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:34:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:36:08 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:38:12 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:40:21 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:42:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:44:10 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:46:11 65.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:47:11 65.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↑ +1% 8/3/2026, 12:03:13
Price is near fair value with tight spread and balanced, stable order flow. Any edge looks too small to trade aggressively.
Yes ↓ -1% 8/3/2026, 06:02:47
Current price looks efficient with mild bearish tilt, but the edge is too small for a clear trade.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 00:03:01
Modest bearish lean versus the current 0.65 price; no fresh upward momentum and orderbook skew is not enough to offset the already-rich valuation.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/2/2026, 18:02:04
Slightly bearish versus current price: recent trend softened, and bid/ask depth is heavier on the No side, implying modest downside in Yes.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。